Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.016400 0.018345 0.020302 0.022413 0.024620 0.026855 0.029282
2025-03-23 0.012647 0.015686 0.018877 0.022447 0.026301 0.030310 0.034772
2025-03-30 0.009939 0.013571 0.017535 0.022103 0.027153 0.032512 0.038576
2025-04-06 0.007764 0.011720 0.016202 0.021509 0.027501 0.033962 0.041371
2025-04-13 0.005756 0.009799 0.014580 0.020406 0.027122 0.034476 0.043011
2025-04-20 0.004896 0.009157 0.014360 0.020825 0.028382 0.036738 0.046510
2025-04-27 0.003795 0.008064 0.013497 0.020410 0.028618 0.037795 0.048615
2025-05-04 0.002812 0.006988 0.012560 0.019830 0.028602 0.038514 0.050293
2025-05-11 0.002291 0.006495 0.012316 0.020054 0.029494 0.040241 0.053078
2025-05-18 0.001723 0.005833 0.011795 0.019892 0.029896 0.041375 0.055168
2025-05-25 0.001143 0.005016 0.010997 0.019334 0.029784 0.041887 0.056520
2025-06-01 0.000731 0.004377 0.010389 0.018978 0.029887 0.042623 0.058106
2025-06-08 0.000320 0.003575 0.009544 0.018376 0.029794 0.043264 0.059755
2025-06-15 0.000123 0.003118 0.009195 0.018441 0.030557 0.044962 0.062688
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.002554 0.008599 0.018130 0.030822 0.046048 0.064894
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001973 0.007877 0.017589 0.030759 0.046712 0.066583
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001325 0.006882 0.016585 0.030052 0.046564 0.067287
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001178 0.006843 0.016967 0.031137 0.048587 0.070545
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000846 0.006322 0.016589 0.031201 0.049342 0.072285
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000539 0.005733 0.016063 0.031039 0.049800 0.073654
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000426 0.005616 0.016266 0.031848 0.051452 0.076441
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000274 0.005297 0.016119 0.032168 0.052486 0.078479
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000116 0.004782 0.015612 0.031975 0.052863 0.079715